Where will China's manufacturing industry go in the next decade?
"The next decade is a crucial period for China to change from a manufacturing power to a manufacturing power, and to realize the transformation from Chinese manufacturing to China and China's intellectual creation." On March 18, the China Machinery Industry Federation special adviser and the National Information Technology Expert Advisory Committee Professor Zhu Sendi made six judgments on the development of China's manufacturing industry in the next decade at the "4th China Manufacturing CIO Annual Meeting and 2009 China Manufacturing Informatization Year-end Inventory Awards Ceremony". Metal silicon,
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First, the manufacturing industry has developed into the backbone of our national economy. Jussen used a set of data to prove this judgment: the added value of the manufacturing industry accounts for about one-third of the national GDP, accounting for 80% of the total industry; the taxes paid account for about 90% of the total industry; Exports account for 90% of the country's total foreign trade exports; employees account for 90% of all industries. "From the perspective of development trends, there will be some changes in the next decade, but manufacturing will occupy a more important position in the national economy."
Second, China's manufacturing industry will continue to grow at a certain rate in the next decade.
Third, China's manufacturing industry's total volume and scale are among the highest in the world, and will rank first in the world in the next decade. In 2007, the added value of China's manufacturing industry has surpassed that of Japan and Germany. "In the past two years, the added value of our manufacturing industry has been similar to that of the United States. Conservatively speaking, our value added in the manufacturing industry around the world has jumped to second place."
Fourth, transformation and upgrading and structural adjustment will be the main theme of China's manufacturing industry in the next decade. China's manufacturing industry faces five major changes in the future: from relying on investment to relying mainly on technological advancement and improving the quality of laborers; from focusing on the expansion of production capacity to focusing on the accumulation of technological capabilities; from production-oriented manufacturing to service-oriented manufacturing. From the low end of the world manufacturing value chain to the high end of the world manufacturing value chain; from environmental squeezing to environmentally friendly.
“In these transformations, we must develop strategic emerging industries. The new energy industry focuses on the development of clean energy, renewable energy and new energy vehicles; new materials and high-end manufacturing industries focus on high-performance materials, core components and major technical equipment. The bio-industry focuses on the development of bio-breeding and bio-pharmaceuticals; the information industry focuses on the integration of the Internet of Things and the Internet, and promotes the widespread use of sensor networks; space, ocean and crust deep research and resource development and utilization."
Fifth, the integration of information technology and China's manufacturing industry is advancing in depth and breadth. The focus of the integration of informatization and industrialization includes the development of smart tools, the construction of digital enterprises, the realization of energy conservation and emission reduction, the promotion of transformation and upgrading, the strengthening of the information industry, and the emergence of emerging industries.
“Informatization of manufacturing industry is the focus and convergence point of the integration of the two industries.†The integration of manufacturing, information technology and high technology can promote the transformation and upgrading of traditional manufacturing to modern manufacturing. Among them, intelligence is very important: the digitization of products and equipment is to provide intelligent tools to all sectors of the national economy, thereby improving the level of social productivity in China and improving the international competitiveness of China's equipment manufacturing industry.
Zhu Sendi believes that the interconnection of things will become the next trillion yuan of industry. From the perspective of the overall market size, the market size of China's Internet of Things industry will reach 200 billion yuan in 2010; by 2015, the overall market size of China's Internet of Things will reach 750 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate of more than 30%; by 2020, The ratio of the Internet of Things business to the existing interconnection business is expected to reach 30:1.
Sixth, green manufacturing, intelligent manufacturing, and service-oriented manufacturing will become the direction of China's manufacturing industry.
Green manufacturing is the green concept in the manufacturing and production and remanufacturing of our manufacturing products and the entire life cycle. For example, the development of energy-saving products, energy-saving technologies, energy-saving processes; the development of less pollution, pollution-free, low-emission products and processes; promote low-carbon development, circular economy; reduce resource consumption, save resources;
The intelligent manufacturing system will eventually change from a human-machine harmony system with human-centered decision-making to a machine-based autonomous operation. For example, the development of intelligent products (smart machine tools); automation and intelligent production processes; development of industrial automation technology and products (sensing components, automation instruments, PLC, DCS, FCS, fieldbus, CNC systems), remote monitoring, testing , diagnosis, etc.
Zhu Sendi particularly stressed: "Transformation and upgrading, structural adjustment will be the main theme of China's manufacturing industry in the next decade."